Match Info

League One - Round 22

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Suzhou Dongwu		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.30
	1.85	3.20	4.00	Watch
	2.20	3.15	3.66
	1.94	3.29	4.02	Watch
	2.17	2.95	3.60
	2.26	3.14	3.25	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.28)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.63 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
44.7%

Draw
29.7%

Nanjing City
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.6%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nanjing City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liu Yu (G) 24. Zhang Jiansheng 45. Mijit M. 6. Estrela (C) 33. Liu Jiqiang 8. Gao D. 15. Jin Qiang 42. Arafat Ghenifa 9. Ali M. 7. Farley Rosa 26. Wang B.	26. Yang Chao (G) 22. Meng Zhen 2. Wang Xijie 15. Tayir Shewketjan 20. Liu Le 29. Fu Shang 8. Yang Dejiang 18. Dong Honglin (C) 14. Qurban W. 25. Bruno Baio 10. Ngom Mbekeli J.
Substitutes
37. Askhan (G) 20. Chen Rong 2. Song Bowei 21. Song Pan 18. Tai Jianfeng 39. Tian Jiahao 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie 36. Yuan J. 25. Yu Z. 16. Zhao S.	17. An Bang 23. Hu Jinghang 11. Hu Rentian 19. Ma Fuyu 30. Wei Minghe 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 16. Yang He 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 4. Zhao Chengle 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Guo H.	Zhang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Ali M. ⚽, Gao D. (A),
29', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
39', Gao D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bruno Baio ↓, Hu Jinghang ↑,
46', Wang Xijie ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,
59', Wang B. ↓, Wang Jiancong ↑,
59', Liu Jiqiang ↓, Song Pan ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Ali M. ⚽, Gao D. (A),
60', Fu Shang ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
60', Qurban W. ↓, An Bang ↑,
77', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
78', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Tai Jianfeng ↑,
83', Yang Dejiang ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
85', Ali M. ↓, Zhao S. ↑,
90+1', Mijit M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 2.

Suzhou Dongwu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nanjing City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nanjing City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Suzhou Dongwu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Last Results with these Odds

Suzhou Dongwu - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
29.08.26	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:4 ✺
22.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Suzhou Dongwu	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WTTWW
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
29.08.26	Nanjing City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nanjing City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
03.05.26	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0
27.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	1:0
16.05.25	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1
08.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:1
21.04.24	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2
20.08.23	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1
10.05.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	1:1

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