Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)


	Niort		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.7	3.3	2.45	Watch
	3.04	3.21	2.48
	2.6	3.3	2.38
	2.78	3.28	2.4	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.4)	3.23 ↑ (3.08)	2.43 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
33.7%

Draw
28.4%

Dijon
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dijon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niort, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dijon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Niort - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Dijon will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delecroix P. (G) 26. Benchama S. 2. Bernard Q. (C) 14. Durivaux D. 5. Ecuele Manga B. 20. El Kaddouri B. 29. Gasnier K. 9. Inchaud M. 18. Mbondo B. 17. Renel S. 7. Zemzemi M.	40. Risser R. (G) 17. Chahid Y. 2. Fofana A. 23. Makutungu C. 19. Mendes J. 11. Nassi W. 8. Schur K. 6. Souici R. 28. Soumare B. 5. Temanfo A. (C) 27. Traore C.
Substitutes
25. Anaba R. 19. Elphege N. 12. Manga L. 40. Mbeubap J. (G)	32. Ariss Z. 21. Ben Fredj M. 34. Drouhin A. 20. Fdaouch Z. 14. Marie J.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 2.

Niort is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dijon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Niort won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 3
22.09.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Niort	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Niort - Épinal	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Niort - Cholet	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Nancy - Niort	2:2 ✺
25.08.23	Niort - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTT
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
22.09.23	Dijon - Cholet	0:1 ✺
18.09.23	Nancy - Dijon	3:0 ✺
08.09.23	Dijon - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Châteauroux - Dijon	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Dijon - Avranches	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1
22.10.22	Niort - Dijon	2:1
30.04.22	Niort - Dijon	1:3
11.12.21	Dijon - Niort	2:2
08.01.16	Niort - Dijon	2:2
07.08.15	Dijon - Niort	3:0
13.02.15	Niort - Dijon	1:1

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