Match Info

National - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Dijon		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.52	3.75	5.9
	1.54	3.85	6.7
	1.58	3.47	6.18	Watch
	1.58	3.86	5.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)	3.69 ↑ (3.62)	5.94 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
59.3%

Draw
25.1%

Villefranche
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.6%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Dijon - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Villefranche will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Villefranche (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Villefranche (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Villefranche (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 32. Obongo C. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. (C) 3. Khatir F. 18. Ndezi B. 8. Bellon P. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 4. Barreto M. 11. Tavares J. 29. Ntamack A.	1. Pean S. (G) 2. Sbai H. 4. Valentim E. 17. Camelo L. 25. Ouedraogo L. 3. Grippon T. 18. Keita S. 10. Mroivili R. (C) 8. Marcel V. 9. Leye B. 27. Mixtur K.
Substitutes
10. Barka Y. 21. Chouchane S. 22. Domingues J. 62. Lacroix L. 33. Rombogouera F.	28. Ahamada A. 5. Kabeya E. 19. Nagera K. 11. Sylla K. 26. Thoumin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Marcel V. 🟨,
33', Bellon P. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
37', Ouedraogo L. ↓, Kabeya E. ↑,
41', Sbai H. 🟨,
44', Ndezi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Diouf W. 🟨,
65', Marcel V. ↓, Thoumin A. ↑,
66', Mixtur K. ↓, Ahamada A. ↑,
67', Leye B. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
69', Ntamack A. ↓, Domingues J. ↑,
70', Barreto M. ↓, Barka Y. ↑,
73', Pean S. 🟨,
74', Ndezi B. 🟨,
79', Sbai H. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
87', Tavares J. ↓, Rombogouera F. ↑,
90', Delecroix P. 🟨,
90+4', Obongo C. 🟨,
90+6', Nagera K. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 13).

Dijon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Villefranche has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dijon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dijon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
05.09.25	Caen - Dijon	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dijon - Paris 13 Atletico	4:2 ✺
22.08.25	Stade Briochin - Dijon	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Dijon - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Orleans - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTTW
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
05.09.25	Villefranche - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Villefranche - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Aubagne - Villefranche	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	Villefranche - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Annecy - Villefranche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
18.04.25	Dijon - Villefranche	2:0
06.12.24	Villefranche - Dijon	1:0
16.02.24	Villefranche - Dijon	4:0
08.09.23	Dijon - Villefranche	2:0
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Dijon - Villefranche	6:0

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