Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Niteroiense		Serrano FC

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.75	2.95
	2.32	2.92	2.9
	2.37	2.73	2.97
	2.41	2.86	3.04
	2.3	2.65	2.9
	2.4	2.8	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 (2.36)	2.79 ↓ (3)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niteroiense
37.8%

Draw
32.1%

Serrano FC
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niteroiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Serrano FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Niteroiense - Serrano FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals))

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Niteroiense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Niteroiense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Niteroiense	5	4	1	0	7:1	6	13
7	Serrano FC	5	2	2	1	6:6	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
08.11.25	Niteroiense - Paduano	5:1 ✺
05.11.25	Niteroiense - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Friburguense - Niteroiense	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Campo Grande - Niteroiense	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTL
- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	America RJ - Serrano FC	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
24.06.26	São Gonçalo - Serrano FC	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	Resende - Serrano FC	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
04.10.25	Niteroiense - Serrano FC	1:3

Niteroiense - Serrano FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide