Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 14

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Dolbizno)


	Niva Dolbizno		BATE 2

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.1	7.75
	1.25	5.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	5.15 ↑ (4.4)	7.88 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 11.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niva Dolbizno
71.6%

Draw
17.2%

BATE 2
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

19.1%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niva Dolbizno's performance.

BATE 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dovnar N. (G) 99. Bondarenko V. 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A.	35. Zhurba V. (G) 5. Apanasevich A. 22. Gavrilov M. 8. Karpovich M. 66. Kisel V. 10. Kuimov I. 77. Kuzmenok Y. 4. Shcherbakov N. 18. Starikov E. 11. Titov M. 9. Tolkach M.
Substitutes
1. Belov R. (G) 3. Druchik M. 10. Dybin V. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.	7. Aliyev R. 21. Feskov E. 27. Karshakevich D. 16. Klyakin M. (G) 47. Machnach E. 6. Potapenko G. 14. Shakhnovich E. 45. Shreyn A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Fedortsov D. ⚽, Kuratnik A. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Pampukha P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Fedortsov D. ⚽,
74', 4 - 0, Monich I. ⚽, Pampukha P. (A),
79', 5 - 0, Monich I. ⚽, Skomarovskiy V. (A),
82', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Niva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

BATE 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Niva is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Niva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Including home match between the teams, Niva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Niva Dolbizno	27	17	4	6	67:31	36	55
16	BATE 2	27	5	7	15	36:61	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.06.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Niva Dolbizno	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Molodechno	6:0 ✺
14.06.26	Gomel 2 - Niva Dolbizno	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Orsha	1:1 ✺
01.06.26	Volna Pinsk - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTL
- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
28.06.26	BATE 2 - SKA-1938	3:4 ✺
21.06.26	Slutsk - BATE 2	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	BATE 2 - Dinamo Minsk 2	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Ostrovets - BATE 2	0:0 ✺
01.06.26	BATE 2 - Slonim	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.08.25	Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2	5:3

Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide