Match Info

FNL - Round 5

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Sovcombank Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)

Referee: Matveev Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nizhny Novgorod		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.14	6.52
	1.51	4.05	6.45
	1.54	4.06	6.69	Watch
	1.47	3.75	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	4 ↑ (3.76)	6.37 ↓ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
61.9%

Draw
23.4%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25.4%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

24.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Nizhny Novgorod - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (G) 7. Bober I. 24. Farina E. 27. Grulev V. 66. Gudkov Y. 22. Kakkoev N. 78. Kalinski N. 8. Maiga M. 11. Popolitov G. 17. Shilnikov G. 18. Sokolov A.	1. Golubev A. (G) 38. Aleynikov V. 7. Dzhamilov S. 24. Kakhidze A. 22. Khomukha I. 14. Mashukov I. 5. Musalov M. 85. Pyatkin I. 19. Sharifullin L. 2. Sitdikov M. 44. Sukhoruchenko M.
Substitutes
10. Balboa A. 4. Evgenyev R. 98. Imamov I. (G) 77. Ivlev A. 25. Karic S. 3. Koledin Y. 72. Komissarov T. 93. Lapinsky S. 9. Sarveli V. 69. Sidorenko A. 94. Timofeev A. 80. Tsarukyan V.	11. Abdullaev S. 15. Bondar A. 98. Ismagilov A. (G) 9. Kotik A. 12. Mukba E. 6. Pechenkin N. 28. Platonov P. 13. Puzanov S. 96. Vasiljev N.
Coaches
Garanin V.	Evdokimov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Grulev V. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Grulev V. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Grulev V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sitdikov M. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
46', Musalov M. ↓, Puzanov S. ↑,
46', Maiga M. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Popolitov G. ⚽,
58', Pyatkin I. 🟨,
59', Grulev V. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
59', Sokolov A. ↓, Tsarukyan V. ↑,
59', Popolitov G. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
63', Pyatkin I. ↓, Bondar A. ↑,
63', Mashukov I. ↓, Kotik A. ↑,
67', 5 - 0, Gudkov Y. ⚽,
70', Gudkov Y. ↓, Koledin Y. ↑,
76', Vasiljev N. ↓, Mukba E. ↑,
83', Sarveli V. 🟨,
88', 5 - 1, Mukba E. ⚽,

Preview

Nizhny Novgorod is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neftekhimik has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nizhny Novgorod is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Nizhny Novgorod will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nizhny Novgorod won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nizhny Novgorod won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Neftekhimik: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pari NN	12	10	1	1	36:14	22	31
14	Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7:15	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian FNL
02.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Chelyabinsk - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	KAMAZ - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Rotor	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Dynamo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
01.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.11.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1
16.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
27.10.19	Nizhny Novgorod - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
13.07.19	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Nizhny Novgorod	1:1

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