Match Info

FNL - Round 17

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Shamara V. (Rus)


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		SKA Khabarovsk

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.13	3.17	Watch
	2.3	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	3.09 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
39.5%

Draw
30.2%

SKA Khabarovsk
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

33%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The chances for SKA Khabarovsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (G) 70. Bober I. 8. Kantaria G. 10. Kokoev D. 9. Magomedov R. 5. Musalov M. 15. Nikitin A. 90. Shiltsov K. 12. Shiryaev M. 2. Sitdikov M. 65. Tolstopyatov N.	1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 55. Aleynikov V. 7. Aliev K. (C) 17. Anisimov A. 14. Bragin V. 82. Ilyev D. 91. Noskov E. 3. Pliev K. 30. Shavlokhov D. 33. Tsypchenko D. 13. Yanov D.
Substitutes
7. Dzhamilov S. 24. Kakhidze A. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 74. Kuchugura D. 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 6. Rodin D. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 17. Valiakhmetov E.	19. Alcalde J. 18. Bolataev D. 8. Emeljanov R. 11. Gagloev A. 50. Glotov S. 21. Gurban G. 77. Gurtsiev B. 78. Imamov I. (G) 20. Tur J. A.
Coaches
Novikov K.	Poddubskiy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Magomedov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Tsypchenko D. ⚽,
65', Bragin V. 🟨,
68', Bragin V. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
72', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
74', Kokoev D. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
74', Musalov M. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
75', Yanov D. ↓, Tur J. A. ↑,
77', Kantaria G. 🟨,
83', Magomedov R. ↓, Mashukov I. ↑,
83', Kantaria G. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
88', Aliev K. ↓, Emeljanov R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 2.

Neftekhimik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SKA Khabarovsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Neftekhimik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Neftekhimik has had a series of away games.

Neftekhimik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWL
- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
26.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	3:1 ✺
29.09.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.03.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1
15.09.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0
07.04.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
08.10.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0
08.04.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0
18.09.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1
31.10.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1

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