Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Niğde Belediyespor		Afjet Afyonspor

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.55
	4.5	3.85	1.52
	5	3.95	1.52
	5.25	4.13	1.55
	5.35	4.2	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.56)	4.05 ↑ (4)	1.53 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niğde Belediyespor
18.4%

Draw
22.4%

Afjet Afyonspor
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.6%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

18.3%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niğde Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niğde Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Afjet Afyonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afjet Afyonspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niğde Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afjet Afyonspor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afjet Afyonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	4.2%	91.7%

Niğde Belediyespor - Afjet Afyonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Afjet Afyonspor will win (44 of 48 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 99.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).

Niğde Belediyespor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Afjet Afyonspor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Afjet Afyonspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Afjet Afyonspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Afjet Afyonspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Niğde Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Niğde Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niğde Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.10.21	Niğde Belediyespor - Etimesgut	1:3 ✺
26.09.21	Niğde Belediyespor - İnegölspor	1:5 ✺
18.09.21	Hekimoğlu Trabzon - Niğde Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
12.09.21	Niğde Belediyespor - Ankaraspor	0:3 ✺
05.09.21	Somaspor - Niğde Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Afjet Afyonspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.10.21	Afjet Afyonspor - İnegölspor	4:2 ✺
02.10.21	Hekimoğlu Trabzon - Afjet Afyonspor	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Afjet Afyonspor - Ankaraspor	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Somaspor - Afjet Afyonspor	3:3 ✺
12.09.21	Afjet Afyonspor - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
10.03.21	Niğde Belediyespor - Afjet Afyonspor	2:2

Niğde Belediyespor - Afjet Afyonspor