Match Info

Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Rafholtsvöllurinn (Njardvik)


	Njarðvík		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.65	2.45
	2.38	4.04	2.5
	8.22	3.71	1.46	Watch
	2.54	3.89	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (1.73)	3.82 ↓ (4.18)	2.2 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Njarðvík
26.6%

Draw
26.8%

Keflavík
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

21.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

22%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Njarðvík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Njarðvík's form might have worsened.

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keflavík's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (+26.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Njarðvík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keflavík, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Njarðvík - Keflavík Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fridriksson A. (G) 2. Aronsson D. 23. Boakye T. 11. Gudnason F. 6. Hjorleifsson A. 8. Hogg K. (C) 7. Joao Ananias 10. Johannsson V. 19. Jonsson T. 3. Markusson S. 13. Radic D.	21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 27. Gautason V. 4. Heras N. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. 14. Mudrazija M. 23. Ragnarsson E.
Substitutes
29. Al Mosawe A. 18. Bjornsson B. 25. Hjalmsson Y. 31. Kjartansson A. (G) 5. Magnusson A. 17. Thasaphong S. 21. Valgeirsson V.	18. Bjarnason E. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 24. Gudmundsson G. 3. Johannesson A. 7. Sigfusson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Radic D. 🟨,
42', Ragnarsson E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Mudrazija M. ⚽,
62', 0 - 2, Ljubicic S. ⚽,
64', Magnusson S. 🟨,
66', Gudnason F. ↓, Al Mosawe A. ↑,
72', Hogg K. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
76', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
80', Al Ghoul M. ↓, Sigfusson K. ↑,
80', Elvarsson F. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
84', Olafsson S. 🟨,
87', Johannsson V. ↓, Thasaphong S. ↑,
88', Mudrazija M. ↓, Fridriksson S. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Ljubicic S. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 3, Ljubicic S. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Njarðvík could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Njarðvík won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Njarðvík
Icelandic Division 1
17.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Njarðvík - Grindavik	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Njarðvík - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Thor Akureyri - Njarðvík	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
17.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Selfoss - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:2 ✺
23.08.25	Keflavík - Völsungur	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
17.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:2
06.09.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	2:1
26.06.25	Njarðvík - Keflavík	3:1
07.09.24	Njarðvík - Keflavík	0:0
26.06.24	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:1
Icelandic Cup
25.05.22	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:4
Icelandic Division 1
30.07.19	Keflavík - Njarðvík	1:0

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