Match Info

Division 1 - Round 8

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Rafholtsvöllurinn (Njardvik)


	Njarðvík		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.4
				Watch
	1.91	3.85	3.57
				Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.5
	1.85	3.74	3.44
	1.8	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)	3.79 ↑ (3.75)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Njarðvík
50%

Draw
24%

Thor Akureyri
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

24.3%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Njarðvík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fridriksson A. (G) 2. Aronsson D. 14. Cosic A. 9. Diouck O. 6. Hjorleifsson A. 7. Joao Ananias 10. Johannsson V. 19. Jonsson T. (C) 3. Markusson S. 13. Radic D. 16. Thordarson S.	21. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 24. Geirsson Y. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 19. Ragnarsson R. 4. Runarsson H.
Substitutes
18. Bjornsson B. 11. Gudnason F. 8. Hogg K. 5. Magnusson A. 12. Matoga B. (G) 17. Thasaphong S. 21. Valgeirsson V.	2. Arnarsson A. 25. Arnason P. 22. Bjarnason O. 18. Ingason S. 30. Lalic F. (G) 26. Sveinsson R. M. 16. Thordarson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Hjorleifsson A. 🟨,
13', Geirsson Y. 🟨,
43', Thordarson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', Guardia J. 🟨,
53', Aronsson D. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Guardia J. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, Diouck O. ⚽,
66', Geirsson Y. ↓, Ingason S. ↑,
70', 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Johannsson V. ⚽,
75', Radic D. ↓, Thasaphong S. ↑,
76', Thordarson S. ↓, Bjornsson B. ↑,
82', Ottosson V. ↓, Arnarsson A. ↑,
82', Runarsson H. ↓, Sveinsson R. M. ↑,
85', Johannsson V. ↓, Gudnason F. ↑,
85', Diouck O. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Valgeirsson V. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 2.

Njarðvík is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Thor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Thor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Njarðvík is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Njarðvík won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Njarðvík
Icelandic Division 1
09.06.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Njarðvík	2:2 ✺
04.06.25	Njarðvík - Fjölnir	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Selfoss - Njarðvík	0:4 ✺
23.05.25	HK Kópavogur - Njarðvík	1:3 ✺
16.05.25	Njarðvík - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWWT
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
09.06.25	Thor Akureyri - IR Reykjavik	1:1 ✺
04.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Völsungur	1:3 ✺
30.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	4:1 ✺
24.05.25	Grindavik - Thor Akureyri	2:4 ✺
18.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
10.08.24	Thor Akureyri - Njarðvík	2:2
31.05.24	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	5:1
Icelandic League Cup
10.02.24	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	1:5
Icelandic Division 1
25.08.23	Thor Akureyri - Njarðvík	0:3
24.06.23	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	2:2
16.07.19	Thor Akureyri - Njarðvík	2:1
11.05.19	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	0:2

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