Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
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United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Molde		APOEL

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.75
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.72	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.88
	1.66	4.02	4.7	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.75
	1.71	4.08	4.84
	1.72	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	4.72 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
55.7%

Draw
24.4%

APOEL
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	13.6%	11.4%

Molde - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 33 - 75%). APOEL will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 62.2% – 87.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Posiadala A. (G) 26. Amundsen I. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 4. Lund V. 18. Stenevik H. 20. Eriksen K. (C) 17. Daehli M. 16. Breivik E. 31. Lovik M. 27. Brynhildsen O. 10. Enggaard M.	27. Belec V. (C) 16. Susic M. 3. Petrovic R. 34. Laifis K. 19. Quintilla X. 18. Satsias G. 17. Abagna D. 8. Tejera S. 29. Chebake I. 77. Ndongala D. 11. Donis A.
Substitutes
2. Bjornbak M. 23. Granaas S. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 19. Haugan E. 28. Haugen K. 9. Ihler F. 15. Kaasa M. 32. Lervik P. (G) 21. Linnes M. 34. McDermott S. (G) 29. Nyheim G. 33. Odegard N.	12. Bah A. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 5. Dvali L. 23. Kattirtzis P. 10. Marquinhos 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G) 35. Polykarpou P.
Coaches
Moe E.	Jimenez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Donis A. 🟨,
30', Daehli M. 🟨,
38', Jimenez M. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Laifis K. ⚽, Tejera S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Amundsen I. 🟨,
60', Daehli M. ↓, Kaasa M. ↑,
60', Lovik M. ↓, Linnes M. ↑,
60', Stenevik H. ↓, Haugen K. ↑,
63', Petrovic R. 🟨,
67', Ndongala D. 🟨,
67', Donis A. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
70', Haugen K. 🟨,
74', Breivik E. ↓, Granaas S. ↑,
74', Amundsen I. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
76', Ndongala D. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
76', Satsias G. ↓, Polykarpou P. ↑,
88', Bah A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Molde is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

APOEL is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Molde is a favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Berisha V. (Injury) Gulbrandsen F. (Injury) Oyvann C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in APOEL: Sarfo K. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.11.24	Molde - Brann	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Molde	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.11.24	Molde - Bodø Glimt	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
30.10.24	Sandnes Ulf - Molde	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLTW
- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
23.11.24	Paphos - APOEL	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	APOEL - AEL Limassol	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	APOEL - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
02.11.24	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	APOEL - Anorthosis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWTW

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