Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Nocerina		Atletico Lodigiani

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.43	6.84
	1.45	4.38	5.77	Watch
	1.35	4.2	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	4.34 ↓ (4.4)	6.92 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
65.8%

Draw
21%

Atletico Lodigiani
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Atletico Lodigiani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Lodigiani than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Nocerina - Atletico Lodigiani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Iuliano F. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Sorgente S. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )).

Nocerina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atletico Lodigiani has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nocerina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nocerina is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.11.25	Latte Dolce - Nocerina	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Nocerina - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
16.11.25	Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Valmontone - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nocerina - Cassino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Atletico Lodigiani
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.11.25	Atletico Lodigiani - Montespaccato	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Albalonga - Atletico Lodigiani	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atletico Lodigiani - Palmese 1914	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Trastevere - Atletico Lodigiani	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atletico Lodigiani - Anzio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

Nocerina - Atletico Lodigiani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide