Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Nocerina		Budoni

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.45
	1.69	3.48	4.64	Watch
	1.67	3.42	4.75
	1.73	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	3.41 ↓ (3.43)	4.59 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nocerina
53.6%

Draw
26.6%

Budoni
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.8%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Budoni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budoni than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Nocerina - Budoni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Nocerina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Budoni	6	2	1	3	10:13	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Nocerina - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
08.02.26	Nocerina - Palmese 1914	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Nocerina - Anzio	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Albalonga - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Nocerina - Scafatese	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Trastevere - Nocerina	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWLL
- Budoni Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
08.02.26	Budoni - Anzio	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Albalonga - Budoni	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Budoni - Scafatese	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Trastevere - Budoni	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	Budoni - Ischia Isolaverde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
12.10.25	Budoni - Nocerina	3:2
18.02.24	Budoni - Nocerina	0:1
15.10.23	Nocerina - Budoni	1:0

Nocerina - Budoni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide