Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Albalonga		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.2	2.52
	2.52	3.33	2.52	Watch
	2.51	3.24	2.47
	2.5	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.47)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	2.5 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albalonga
36.2%

Draw
27.6%

Nocerina
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albalonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albalonga than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Albalonga - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Kernezo G. ⚽,
27', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Albalonga	9	3	4	2	14:12	2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Albalonga
Italian Serie D - Group G
11.01.26	Albalonga - Anzio	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Olbia - Albalonga	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Scafatese - Albalonga	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Albalonga - Trastevere	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Monastir - Albalonga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
11.01.26	Nocerina - Scafatese	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Trastevere - Nocerina	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ischia Isolaverde - Nocerina	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Nocerina - Monastir	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT

Albalonga - Nocerina