The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nocerina 50.8%
Draw 25.9%
Città di Brindisi 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
23.8%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
23.3%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nocerina's form might have worsened.
Città di Brindisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Città di Brindisi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nocerina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Brindisi than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Città di Brindisi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nocerina - Città di Brindisi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Felleca F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Addessi S. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nocerina won 2.
Nocerina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Brindisi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nocerina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Nocerina is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Nocerina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Nocerina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 2:0).
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