The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nocerina 43.3%
Draw 28.9%
Flaminia Civita Castellana 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
27.9%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
28.3%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Flaminia Civita Castellana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Nocerina - Flaminia Civita Castellana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Nocerina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Flaminia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Nocerina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Nocerina could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Nocerina - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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