Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Noia		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.15	3
	2.22	3.11	3
	2.25	3.24	3	Watch
	2.17	3.32	2.98
	2.22	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.45)	3.19 ↑ (3.09)	3 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
41.1%

Draw
28.5%

Polvorín
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Noia - Polvorín Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Noia (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Noia (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Naval A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Noia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	RC Villalbes - Noia	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Barbadás - Noia	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Noia	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Noia - Viveiro	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Noia - Alondras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLL
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Sarriana - Polvorín	0:4 ✺
17.04.25	Betanzos - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polvorín - Alondras	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Silva SD - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Polvorín - Estradense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Polvorín - Noia	1:0
17.04.22	Noia - Polvorín	0:2

Noia - Polvorín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide