Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Silva SD		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.37	3.05	2.85
	2.42	3.03	2.89
	2.4	2.93	2.94
	2.37	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.27)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.87 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Silva SD
38.4%

Draw
29.9%

Polvorín
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

28.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Silva SD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The chances for Polvorín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Silva SD - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Silva SD won 1.

Silva SD is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Polvorín is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Silva SD won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:14 (average 0.9:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Silva SD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Silva SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
30.03.25	RC Villalbes - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Silva SD - Noia	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Viveiro - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Silva SD - Sarriana	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Alondras - Silva SD	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLTL
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
30.03.25	Polvorín - Estradense	1:3 ✺
23.03.25	Gran Peña - Polvorín	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Polvorín - Somozas	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Polvorín - Villalonga	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Valladares - Polvorín	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
24.11.24	Polvorín - Silva SD	1:1
04.02.24	Polvorín - Silva SD	0:0
17.09.23	Silva SD - Polvorín	2:0
27.03.22	Silva SD - Polvorín	1:3
20.11.21	Polvorín - Silva SD	4:0
14.03.21	Silva SD - Polvorín	0:3
08.12.20	Polvorín - Silva SD	1:0

Silva SD - Polvorín