Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Noia |
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Alondras |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.05 |
3.1 |
1.82 |
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4.3 |
3.21 |
1.84 |
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1.07 |
7.46 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
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4.4 |
2.9 |
1.83 |
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4.45 |
3.14 |
1.79 |
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4 |
3.25 |
1.84 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(3.35) |
3.84 ↑
(3.3) |
5.69 ↑
(2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Noia
38.2% | Draw
36.9% | Alondras
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noia's performance.Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alondras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+21.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alondras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Noia - Alondras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Alondras might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).Including home match between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Alondras | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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