Match Info

WE League Women - Round 5

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	18:30	DAZN Japan


	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.05	2.45
	2.75	3.19	2.5
	2.52	3.18	2.66	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.45
	2.59	3.15	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.74)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)	2.49 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara
34.6%

Draw
28.9%

Albirex Niigata
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Yumura H. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nojima Stella won 3.

Nojima Stella is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Albirex Niigata have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Albirex Niigata could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nojima Stella has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:22 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nojima Stella against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nojima Stella W	6	2	2	2	6:11	-5	8
10	Albirex Niigata W	6	1	2	3	5:7	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara
Japan WE League Women
18.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	2:2 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
10.10.26	JEF United Chiba - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:2 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLWL
- Albirex Niigata Ladies
Japan WE League Women
17.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
12.10.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 penalties ✺
23.09.26	NTV Beleza - Albirex Niigata	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Women
09.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	0:2
Japan WE League Cup Women
22.03.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Albirex Niigata	1:0
14.03.26	Albirex Niigata - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	1:0
Japan WE League Women
05.10.25	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Albirex Niigata	1:0
30.03.25	Albirex Niigata - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	1:0
30.11.24	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Albirex Niigata	0:2
Japan WE League Cup Women
06.11.24	Albirex Niigata - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	2:0

Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Albirex Niigata