Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Marcello Torre (Pagani) 🌤️ ...


	Paganese		Nola

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.57	3.5	5.35
	1.6	3.59	4.86
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.56	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	4.96 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
56.9%

Draw
24.9%

Nola
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

24.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Paganese aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nola than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	0%	6.5%

Paganese - Nola Predictions

Users Predictions: Paganese will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Paganese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nola is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paganese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paganese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.03.23	Sorrento - Paganese	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Paganese - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Ilvamaddalena - Paganese	0:4 ✺
19.02.23	Paganese - Portici	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Palmese 1914 - Paganese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL
- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.03.23	Nola - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Sorrento - Nola	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Nola - Palmese 1914	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Aprilia - Nola	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Nola - Angri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWT

Paganese - Nola

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Paganese - Nola Predictions

Preview

Form

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