Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Arzachena		Casertana

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	2.98	3.09	2.15
	3.24	3.1	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.43)	3.1 ↓ (3.12)	2.12 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzachena
28.5%

Draw
29.1%

Casertana
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.4%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.4%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzachena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Arzachena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casertana is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Arzachena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Casertana will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arzachena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisportiva Arzachena
Italian Serie D - Group G
11.03.23	Atletico Uri - Arzachena	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Arzachena - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Vis Artena - Arzachena	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Tivoli Calcio - Arzachena	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Arzachena - Pomezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLTW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.03.23	Casertana - Vis Artena	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Tivoli Calcio - Casertana	2:3 ✺
26.02.23	Casertana - Pomezia	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Romana - Casertana	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Casertana - Real Monterotondo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
13.11.22	Casertana - Arzachena	0:0

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