Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Ayutthaya United

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.1
	1.65	3.75	4.5
	1.58	3.6	4.58
	1.69	3.58	4.25
	1.65	3.5	4
	1.72	3.62	4.21
	1.61	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)	3.62 ↑ (3.49)	4.31 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
54.3%

Draw
24.8%

Ayutthaya United
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ayutthaya United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Nongbua Pitchaya - Ayutthaya United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nongbua Pitchaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ayutthaya United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1 and 7).

Nongbua Pitchaya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ayutthaya United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ayutthaya United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nongbua Pitchaya is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nongbua Pitchaya to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 2
04.02.24	Suphanburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangmai United	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Chiangmai - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Phrae United	3:2 ✺
06.01.24	MOF Customs United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 2
02.02.24	Ayutthaya United - Chainat	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Kasetsart - Ayutthaya United	1:3 ✺
21.01.24	Ayutthaya United - Suphanburi	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Chanthaburi - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Ayutthaya United - Chiangmai United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
01.10.23	Ayutthaya United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:0
17.02.21	Ayutthaya United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1
16.09.20	Nongbua Pitchaya - Ayutthaya United	1:1

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