Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 2


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Rayong FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.23	3.2	2.95
	2.35	3.2	3.37
	2.21	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.24	3.43	3.02	Watch
	2.23	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.99)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)	3.09 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
41.6%

Draw
28.5%

Rayong FC
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

21.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (+4%)

Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Yen-Arrom S. (G) 2. Lyngbo S. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe (C) 88. Hantes A. 21. Rontini C. 25. Waenlor A. 11. Conrado 16. Songma J. 30. Sriwichai W. 19. Judivan	30. Ganthong W. (G) 5. Phusirit W. 25. Wannasri P. 12. Aguinaldo A. 33. Kullapha K. 39. Janchaichit R. 15. Jeon H. 6. Lwin M. A. 9. Junior S. (C) 7. Bruno Catanhede 41. Ito R.
Substitutes
23. Haber M. 15. Jamsuwan K. (G) 18. Jujeen A. 7. Lukthong N. 3. Palachom T. 8. Park Jong-Woo 14. Phochai T. 6. Posri S. 26. Sathaporn W. 69. Seekaewnit P. 17. Songma J. 20. Tanee W.	18. Auksonsri T. (G) 10. Batchari J. 29. Boodjinda A. 31. Harape P. 4. Katano H. 14. Keereeleang G. 44. Kerdkaew C. 8. Lucero J. 3. Namuangrak Y. 16. Samanthai U. 23. Takum P.
Coaches
Yothee S.	Punpee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Conrado ⚽, Judivan (A),
33', Janchaichit R. 🟨,
37', Conrado ↓, Haber M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Janchaichit R. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
46', Kullapha K. ↓, Namuangrak Y. ↑,
71', Sriwichai W. ↓, Posri S. ↑,
71', Lwin M. A. ↓, Keereeleang G. ↑,
73', Judivan 🟨,
78', Lucero J. ↓, Boodjinda A. ↑,
79', Waenlor A. ↓, Park Jong-Woo ↑,
87', Namuangrak Y. 🟨,
90+1', Ito R. ↓, Batchari J. ↑,
90+1', Park Jong-Woo 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Jeon H. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayong FC has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Rayong FC have a series of home games.

Nongbua Pitchaya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 penalties ✺
Thai League 1
23.02.25	Bangkok United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Uthai Thani - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLT
- Rayong FC
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Rayong FC - Ratchaburi	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
22.02.25	Rayong FC - Ratchaburi	1:4 ✺
17.02.25	Rayong FC - Lamphun Warriors	2:3 ✺
07.02.25	Bangkok United - Rayong FC	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Rayong FC - Uthai Thani	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
21.10.24	Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:1
Thai League 2
03.03.24	Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1
05.11.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC	1:1
Thai League Cup
16.11.22	Rayong FC - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:2 ET

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