Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	3.65	1.86
	3.97	3.83	1.79
	3.51	3.75	1.86	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.9
	3.56	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.45	3.65	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.92)	3.66 ↓ (3.72)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
25.8%

Draw
24.9%

Pathum United
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

24.8%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.6%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Nongbua Pitchaya - Pathum United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Jamsuwan K. (G) 18. Jujeen A. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe 2. Lyngbo S. 30. Sriwichai W. 8. Park Jong-Woo 21. Rontini C. 11. Conrado 23. Haber M. 16. Songma J.	93. Dokmaikeaw P. (G) 2. Nonthasila S. 78. Gomis C. 16. Sandokhadze N. 29. Jamnongwat W. 6. Yooyen S. 5. Kaman K. 17. Notsuda G. 11. Gustavsson P. 75. Raniel 18. Songkrasin C. (C)
Substitutes
10. Chawin S. 9. Eisa A. 29. Fomthaisong A. 88. Hantes A. 19. Judivan 7. Lukthong N. 3. Palachom T. 6. Posri S. 69. Seekaewnit P. 17. Songma J. 25. Waenlor A. 83. Yen-Arrom S. (G)	14. Alvarez F. 28. Anuin S. (G) 99. bin Fandi Ahmad I. 20. Hwang Myung-Hyun 9. Sareepim S. 45. Suksum N.
Coaches
Supachchart M.	Komsilp S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Gustavsson P. ⚽, Songkrasin C. (A),
35', Jamnongwat W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jujeen A. ↓, Hantes A. ↑,
55', Gustavsson P. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Conrado (Pen),
68', Sriwichai W. ↓, Chawin S. ↑,
69', Raniel ↓, bin Fandi Ahmad I. ↑,
70', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
75', Haber M. ↓, Eisa A. ↑,
78', Nonthasila S. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pathum United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pathum United is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai FA Cup
29.01.25	Bangkok United - Nongbua Pitchaya	3:0 ✺
Thai League 1
25.01.25	Muangthong United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Lamphun Warriors	0:0 ✺
14.01.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Prachuap	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTTW
- BG Pathum United
Thai FA Cup
29.01.25	Lopburi City - Pathum United	0:3 ✺
Thai League 1
26.01.25	Pathum United - Khonkaen United	4:1 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
22.01.25	Shan United - Pathum United	1:4 ✺
Thai League 1
18.01.25	Chiangrai United - Pathum United	1:0 ✺
15.01.25	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
14.09.24	Pathum United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1
05.03.23	Pathum United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:3
08.10.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Pathum United	1:0
22.01.22	Pathum United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:1
17.11.21	Nongbua Pitchaya - Pathum United	3:1

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