Match Info

Date: 14 December 2021, Tuesday


	Nordia Jerusalem		Maccabi Jaffa

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.73
	4	3.65	1.65
	4.4	3.84	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (4.04)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordia Jerusalem
21.8%

Draw
24.6%

Maccabi Jaffa
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

20.6%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Jaffa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Recent matches Nordia Jerusalem is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Jaffa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maccabi Jaffa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maccabi Jaffa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nordia Jerusalem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Nordia Jerusalem won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.12.21	Hapoel Azor - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
03.12.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Herzliya	2:1 ✺
30.11.21	Maccabi Yavne - Nordia Jerusalem	1:0 ✺
26.11.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Ironi Kuseife	1:0 ✺
09.11.21	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLWL
- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.12.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:1 ✺
29.11.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:0 ✺
26.11.21	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Jaffa	0:4 ✺
09.11.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Ashkelon	3:0 ✺
04.11.21	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Maccabi Jaffa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.04.21	Maccabi Jaffa - Nordia Jerusalem	3:1
12.02.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Jaffa	1:5
24.01.20	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Jaffa	1:3
20.09.19	Maccabi Jaffa - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0

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