Match Info

Superettan - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Norrby		Östersund

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.75	3.25	2.35
	2.68	3.35	2.52
	2.66	3.5	2.64
	2.8	3.42	2.41	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.6
	2.58	3.38	2.58	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.92)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	2.5 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrby
35.1%

Draw
27.7%

Östersund
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Östersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Östersund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Norrby - Östersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Norrby will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Östersund will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banozic S. (G) 14. Backlund O. 4. Nedzibovic A. 5. Svendsen V. (C) 17. Spendler T. 11. Liimatainen K. 6. Hjalmar J. 18. Axede C. 10. Bichis J. 9. Abdulazeez Y. 7. Johansson J.	1. Uppenberg M. (G) 19. Widgren D. (C) 5. Qasem A. A. 3. Azzi H. 27. Miljanovic D. 15. Molls D. 8. Ozkan E. 28. Adjoumani Y. 16. Begic A. 22. Ali J. 10. Marklund S.
Substitutes
13. Adewale I. 21. Fransen S. 16. Gustafsson F. 25. Ljungkull M. 26. Lyden A. 12. Svensson T. (G) 28. Tilly H. 8. Wester M.	14. Anyanwu S. 21. Bozickovic L. 12. Forsell R. (G) 20. Oluwayemi M. 18. Palomino M. 9. Stensrud A. 29. Worke E. Y.
Coaches
Linderoth T.	Miljanovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Abdulazeez Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ali J. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Palomino M. ⚽, Marklund S. (A),
60', Liimatainen K. ↓, Tilly H. ↑,
67', Johansson J. ↓, Adewale I. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Palomino M. ⚽, Miljanovic D. (A),
74', Abdulazeez Y. 🟨,
75', Molls D. ↓, Bozickovic L. ↑,
78', Adjoumani Y. ↓, Anyanwu S. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Adewale I. ⚽, Abdulazeez Y. (A),
87', Backlund O. 🟨,
88', Adewale I. 🟨,
90', Spendler T. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Östersund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Norrby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Norrby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Ostersund: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ostersund	25	11	10	4	33:24	9	43
13	Norrby	25	4	12	9	28:35	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
20.07.26	Norrby - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Norrköping - Norrby	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Norrby - United Nordic	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Norrby - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTLL
- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
18.07.26	Östersund - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sundsvall - Östersund	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Östersund - Norrköping	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Ljungskile - Östersund	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	United Nordic - Östersund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
11.04.26	Östersund - Norrby	1:1
05.11.22	Östersund - Norrby	1:0
28.06.22	Norrby - Östersund	2:0

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