Match Info

Superettan - Round 11

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Karlsson N. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Norrby

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.50	5.00	Watch
	1.61	3.75	4.80
	1.63	3.85	4.60
	1.67	3.90	5.37
	1.63	3.92	5.13	Watch
	1.60	3.60	4.80
	1.64	3.63	5.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	3.74 (3.74)	5.02 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
56.9%

Draw
24.7%

Norrby
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Norrby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Norrby aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Varbergs BoIS - Norrby Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Varberg (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Varbergs BoIS will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ekman O. (G) 22. Dahlstrom N. 17. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. 5. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 19. Nilsson J.	1. Banozic S. (G) 14. Backlund O. 3. Engvall J. 5. Svendsen V. (C) 17. Spendler T. 11. Liimatainen K. 6. Hjalmar J. 18. Axede C. 10. Bichis J. 9. Abdulazeez Y. 7. Johansson J.
Substitutes
9. Bitiqi A. 24. Bryneus O. 15. Johansson N. 18. Lindner J. 6. Silverholt O. 29. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.	13. Bjorninger L. 26. Bradenmark J. 28. Holte M. 25. Ljungkull M. 4. Nedzibovic A. 27. Sjoberg A. 12. Svensson T. (G) 8. Wester M.
Coaches
Salwen V.	Linderoth T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Arlig W. ⚽, Borgelin S. (A),
44', Axede C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', Nilsson J. 🟨,
72', Borgelin S. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
72', Arlig W. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
72', Sadiku E. ↓, Johansson N. ↑,
82', Nilsson J. ↓, Thorsson A. ↑,
84', Abdulazeez Y. ↓, Bjorninger L. ↑,
85', Vidjeskog I. ↓, Lindner J. ↑,
89', Liimatainen K. ↓, Holte M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Johansson N. ⚽, Bitiqi A. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 3.

Varberg has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Norrby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Varberg is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Varberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44
13	Norrby	25	4	12	9	28:35	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
30.05.26	Ljungskile - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
24.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
19.05.26	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW
- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
30.05.26	Öster - Norrby	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Norrby - Ljungskile	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Värnamo - Norrby	2:2 ✺
12.05.26	Landskrona - Norrby	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Norrby - Helsingborg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.06.22	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	1:1
13.03.21	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	1:3
15.02.20	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	1:4
Swedish Superettan
15.09.19	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
15.06.19	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	3:2
Club Friendly
13.03.19	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	2:3
Swedish Superettan
07.10.18	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	4:0

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