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Current Win Probability
Norrby 65.2%
Draw 20.2%
AFC Malmö 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
27.5%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
26.8%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norrby's performance.
AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-20.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norrby that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Norrby - AFC Malmö Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Banozic S. (G) 16. Abdulazeez Y. 11. Andersson M. 14. Backlund O. 10. Bichis J. 3. Engvall J. 22. Helge T. 6. Hjalmar J. 7. Krasnici A. 17. Spendler T. 5. Svendsen V. (C)
25. Lubwama R. (G) 2. Andersson P. 99. Andersson V. 8. Brannefalk J. 77. Castro V. 36. Kristiansson V. 12. Mehmed E. 6. Nouri B. (C) 10. Reuterskiold A. 16. Sverrisson O. 14. Wettergren L.
Substitutes
2. Bendrik D. 15. Isa L. 24. Paulsen L. 12. Svensson T. (G) 8. Wester M.
19. Awad A. 5. Bunjaku G. 7. Mohamud M. 45. Neziri A. 17. Papa D. M. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Krasnici A. ⚽, Andersson M. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Abdulazeez Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Reuterskiold A. ↓, Awad A. ↑,
59', Andersson V. ↓, Karaman E. ↑,
69', Svendsen V. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Castro V. ⚽,
73', Bichis J. ↓, Back Engstrom M. ↑,
74', Andersson M. ↓, Bendrik D. ↑,
75', Kristiansson V. ↓, Neziri A. ↑,
78', Abdulazeez Y. ↓, Paulsen L. ↑,
81', Bendrik D. 🟨,
86', Krasnici A. ↓, Wester M. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).
Norrby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ariana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Norrby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Norrby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Norrby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).