Match Info

Superettan - Round 24

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Hansen A. (Fai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Norrby		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	2.25
	2.75	3.40	2.25
	2.80	3.40	2.20
	3.10	3.65	2.29
	2.86	3.54	2.32	Watch
	3.05	3.60	2.20
	2.98	3.48	2.24	Watch
	2.85	3.30	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.85)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.25 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrby
31.9%

Draw
26.7%

Varbergs BoIS
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Norrby - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banozic S. (G) 14. Backlund O. 5. Svendsen V. (C) 3. Engvall J. 17. Spendler T. 7. Johansson J. 16. Gustafsson F. 18. Axede C. 10. Bichis J. 11. Liimatainen K. 28. Tilly H.	29. Strindholm D. (G) 15. Johansson N. 2. Broman G. 17. Tellgren E. 5. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 9. Shabani L. 19. Nilsson J.
Substitutes
13. Adewale I. 2. Bendrik D. 15. Ferreira E. 6. Hjalmar J. 19. Neat F. 4. Nedzibovic A. 27. Sjoberg A. 12. Svensson T. (G) 8. Wester M.	14. Alfonsi O. 49. Borgelin S. 24. Bryneus O. 22. Dahlstrom N. 1. Ekman O. (G) 12. Kahed L. 18. Lindner J. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Linderoth T.	Salwen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Axede C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, Arlig W. ⚽, Johansson N. (A),
62', Johansson N. ↓, Dahlstrom N. ↑,
62', Nilsson J. ↓, Alfonsi O. ↑,
62', Winbo A. ↓, Kahed L. ↑,
75', Bichis J. ↓, Adewale I. ↑,
75', Backlund O. ↓, Nedzibovic A. ↑,
75', Shabani L. ↓, Werner O. ↑,
79', Gustafsson F. 🟨,
84', Sadiku E. 🟨,
85', Arlig W. ↓, Borgelin S. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Kahed L. ⚽, Alfonsi O. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrby won 0.

Norrby has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Norrby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Norrby won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44
13	Norrby	25	4	12	9	28:35	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
09.09.26	Ljungskile - Norrby	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Norrby - Landskrona	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Sundsvall - Norrby	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.08.26	Dalstorps - Norrby	0:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
23.08.26	Norrby - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWT
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
10.09.26	Varbergs BoIS - Norrköping	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Värnamo - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Varbergs BoIS - Oddevold	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Böljan - Varbergs BoIS	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
10.06.26	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	2:0
Club Friendly
16.06.22	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	1:1
13.03.21	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	1:3
15.02.20	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	1:4
Swedish Superettan
15.09.19	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
15.06.19	Varbergs BoIS - Norrby	3:2
Club Friendly
13.03.19	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	2:3

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