Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	North Geelong Warriors		Brunswick City

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.95	2.28
	2.42	4.15	2.36
	2.41	4.01	2.37	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.3
	2.38	3.84	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.2)	3.91 ↓ (4.1)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Geelong Warriors
37.8%

Draw
23.2%

Brunswick City
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

22.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Brunswick City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Geelong Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brunswick City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

North Geelong Warriors - Brunswick City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Brunswick City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Brunswick City has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Geelong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Geelong Warriors
Australian Victoria Premier League
25.04.26	Bulleen Lions - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	North Geelong Warriors - Brunswick Juventus	3:4 ✺
11.04.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - North Geelong Warriors	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW
- Brunswick City SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
24.04.26	Brunswick City - Langwarrin	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Western United U21 - Brunswick City	2:4 ✺
13.04.26	Brunswick City - Melbourne Knights	0:3 ✺
27.03.26	Brunswick City - Bulleen Lions	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Brunswick City - Brunswick Juventus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
25.05.24	Brunswick City - North Geelong Warriors	0:2

North Geelong Warriors - Brunswick City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide