Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 8

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Melbourne Victory Youth		North Geelong Warriors

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.65	2.62
	2.15	3.82	2.77	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.09	3.97	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.01)	3.69 ↓ (3.74)	2.75 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory Youth
42.3%

Draw
24.7%

North Geelong Warriors
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

North Geelong Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Melbourne Victory Youth - North Geelong Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Victory Youth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Victory Youth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
30.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Langwarrin	3:3 ✺
23.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Western United U21	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Brunswick City - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:2 ✺
09.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Bulleen Lions	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Brunswick Juventus - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLTL
- North Geelong Warriors
Australian Victoria Premier League
28.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - North Geelong Warriors	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Manningham United	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Northcote City - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Srbija	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
15.06.24	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:3

Melbourne Victory Youth - North Geelong Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide