Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	North Sunshine Eagles		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.75	2.05
	2.83	3.95	2.08	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.05
	2.84	3.92	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.3)	3.78 ↑ (3.68)	2.07 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Sunshine Eagles
32.3%

Draw
24%

Melbourne Victory Youth
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

24.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Sunshine Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Sunshine Eagles's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Victory Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Victory Youth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Sunshine Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Sunshine Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Victory Youth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).

North Sunshine is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Victory Youth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, North Sunshine has had a series of away games.

Recently, Victory Youth has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Sunshine Eagles
Australian Victoria Premier League
11.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - North Sunshine Eagles	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Manningham United - North Sunshine Eagles	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Northcote City - North Sunshine Eagles	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Melbourne Srbija - North Sunshine Eagles	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
11.04.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - North Geelong Warriors	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Langwarrin	3:3 ✺
23.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Western United U21	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Brunswick City - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:2 ✺
09.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Bulleen Lions	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLT

North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide