Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Christie Park (Sydney)


	North West Sydney Spirit		Manly United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.84
	1.93	3.71	3.50	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.78	3.62	3.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.09)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	3.67 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North West Sydney Spirit
49.8%

Draw
25.2%

Manly United
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North West Sydney Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North West Sydney Spirit's performance.

Manly United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North West Sydney Spirit than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North West Sydney Spirit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

North West Sydney Spirit - Manly United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Mostofi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Duroux B. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Griffiths S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NWS Spirit won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, NWS Spirit is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, NWS Spirit won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, NWS Spirit won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

North West Sydney Spirit - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North West Sydney Spirit
Australian NPL NSW
26.04.26	Blacktown City - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Sydney United	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - North West Sydney Spirit	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	North West Sydney Spirit - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	St George Saints - North West Sydney Spirit	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTWW
- Manly United
Australian NPL NSW
25.04.26	Marconi Stallions - Manly United	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sydney Olympic - Manly United	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Sutherland Sharks - Manly United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
05.07.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Manly United	2:1
21.03.25	Manly United - North West Sydney Spirit	0:1
03.08.24	North West Sydney Spirit - Manly United	4:2
26.04.24	Manly United - North West Sydney Spirit	3:2
01.07.23	Manly United - North West Sydney Spirit	0:2
18.03.23	North West Sydney Spirit - Manly United	1:3

North West Sydney Spirit - Manly United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide