The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manly United 24.4%
Draw 24.7%
Rockdale Ilinden 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
25.9%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
26.4%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manly United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manly United's form might have worsened.
Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rockdale Ilinden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manly United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rockdale Ilinden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
56', 🟥,
61', 3 - 0, ⚽,
68', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 0.
Manly United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rockdale Ilinden has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rockdale Ilinden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Rockdale Ilinden could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly United won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Manly United won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Watch
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