The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutherland Sharks 40.1%
Draw 27.4%
Manly United 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
27%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
27.6%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutherland Sharks's performance.
Manly United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manly United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manly United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Sutherland Sharks - Manly United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sutherland Sharks will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Manly United will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 3.
Sutherland Sharks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Manly United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Sutherland Sharks has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sutherland Sharks won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sutherland Sharks won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Manly United - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.