Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)


	Sydney FC U23		Blacktown City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.15
	2.13	3.8	3.07
	2.20	3.54	2.96	Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.13	3.74	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.14)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	3.04 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC U23
44.2%

Draw
25.5%

Blacktown City
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Blacktown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC U23 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation)).

Sydney FC U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blacktown City is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sydney FC U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney FC U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
12.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
03.04.26	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - University of New South Wales	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sydney United - Sydney FC U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLL
- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
12.04.26	Blacktown City - Wollongong Wolves	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	St. George City - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Blacktown City - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sydney United - Blacktown City	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Blacktown City - Marconi Stallions	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
22.08.25	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	3:3
11.05.25	Blacktown City - Sydney FC U23	0:5
12.07.24	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	1:2

Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide