Match Info

Australian Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	15:05	SBS On Demand
Hong Kong	12:05	HOY TV


	South Melbourne		North West Sydney Spirit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.64	4.14	4.53	Watch
	1.47	4.35	6.35	Watch
	1.59	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	4.1 ↑ (3.6)	5.23 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
59.4%

Draw
22.7%

North West Sydney Spirit
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

23.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

North West Sydney Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North West Sydney Spirit than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

South Melbourne - North West Sydney Spirit Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - South Melbourne (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

South Melbourne is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

NWS Spirit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

South Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Melbourne is considered a favorite.

We predict that South Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
Australian Championship
14.11.25	Moreton City Excelsior - South Melbourne	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	South Melbourne - Broadmeadow Magic	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Sydney Olympic - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Broadmeadow Magic - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	South Melbourne - Moreton City Excelsior	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW
- North West Sydney Spirit
Australian Championship
16.11.25	Canberra Croatia - North West Sydney Spirit	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Avondale - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Preston Lions	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Canberra Croatia	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Avondale	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWT

South Melbourne - North West Sydney Spirit: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide