The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bulleen Lions 37.7%
Draw 25.4%
Northcote City 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
24.6%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
24.5%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bulleen Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bulleen Lions than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Bulleen Lions - Northcote City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Bulleen is Qualified for Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bulleen won 1.
Bulleen is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Northcote City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bulleen won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bulleen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Northcote City - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.