Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 21

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Caroline Springs George Cross

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.4	1.57
	3.9	4.75	1.55
	3.9	4.59	1.55
				Watch
	4	4.33	1.62
	4.14	4.7	1.55
	3.9	4.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.75)	4.59 ↓ (4.8)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
22.8%

Draw
19.6%

Caroline Springs George Cross
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

17.9%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

17.2%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Caroline Springs George Cross has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Springs George Cross than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Northcote City - Caroline Springs George Cross Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Caroline Springs is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
27.06.25	Langwarrin - Northcote City	5:2 ✺
20.06.25	Northcote City - Western United U21	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	0:1 ✺
06.06.25	Northcote City - Eastern Lions	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Northcote City - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW
- Caroline Springs George Cross
Australian Victoria Premier League
28.06.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Bentleigh Greens	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Manningham United	6:1 ✺
14.06.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Brunswick City	0:1 ✺
09.06.25	Kingston City - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Bulleen Lions	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
29.03.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Northcote City	3:4
06.07.24	Caroline Springs George Cross - Northcote City	1:2

Northcote City - Caroline Springs George Cross: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide