Match Info

NSW League One - Round 17

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Northern Tigers		Mounties Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7.25
	1.37	4.6	6.6
	1.39	4.84	6.79
	1.33	4.97	7.31	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.5	4.69	5.21
	1.37	4.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.72 ↑ (4.5)	6.54 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
66.5%

Draw
19.5%

Mounties Wanderers
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

18.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Mounties Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northern Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Northern Tigers - Mounties Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 13).

Recent performances by Northern Tigers have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mounties Wanderers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Mounties Wanderers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Northern Tigers is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
24.05.25	Bulls Academy - Northern Tigers	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Northern Tigers - University of New South Wales	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Canterbury Bankstown - Northern Tigers	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Northern Tigers - Dulwich Hill	5:0 ✺
26.04.25	Rydalmere Lions - Northern Tigers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLWL
- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
24.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Canterbury Bankstown	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bulls Academy	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Hills United	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Blacktown Spartans - Mounties Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Mounties Wanderers - Inter Lions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
15.02.25	Mounties Wanderers - Northern Tigers	0:4

Northern Tigers - Mounties Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide