Match Info

NSW League One - Round 15

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Northern Tigers		University of New South Wales

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.65
	3.2	3.8	1.91
	3.15	3.8	2.12
	2.97	3.8	2.05	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.6
	3.25	4.08	1.94
	3.2	3.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.25)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	2.17 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
32.2%

Draw
24.9%

University of New South Wales
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northern Tigers's form might have worsened.

University of New South Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting University of New South Wales's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northern Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for University of New South Wales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Northern Tigers - University of New South Wales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Relegation: ) and 3).

Northern Tigers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UNSW is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UNSW may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
10.05.25	Canterbury Bankstown - Northern Tigers	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Northern Tigers - Dulwich Hill	5:0 ✺
26.04.25	Rydalmere Lions - Northern Tigers	5:0 ✺
18.04.25	Northern Tigers - Bonnyrigg White Eagles	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWW
- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NSW League One
10.05.25	University of New South Wales - Bankstown City Lions	3:1 ✺
06.05.25	SD Raiders - University of New South Wales	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	Hills United - University of New South Wales	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	University of New South Wales - Canterbury Bankstown	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Macarthur Rams - University of New South Wales	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
08.06.24	Northern Tigers - University of New South Wales	1:0

Northern Tigers - University of New South Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide