Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Algeria	ENTV
Angola	TPA 2, Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand, Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	RTBF Tipik
Benin	ORTB
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Cameroon	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports
Canada	CTV, fubo Sports Network, RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN 5, TSN+
Chad	Tele Tchad
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi
Czech-republic	Nova Action
Denmark	TV2, TV2 Play
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Estonia	ETV 1, ETV+, Go3 Extra Sports
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M6
Gabon	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Gambia	GRTS Gambia
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Ghana	GTV, GTV Sports Plus, TV3
Greece	ERT Sports 2
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
India	ZEE5
Iran	Persiana Sports 2, Persiana Sports
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, RAI 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazaqstan TV, Qazsport
Kenya	KBC Channel 1
Kosovo	Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Latvia	TV6
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Madagascar	Malagasy TV
Malaysia	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium
Moldova	Jurnal TV
Montenegro	TVCG 1
Mozambique	TVM 1, TV Miramar
Netherlands	NPO 1
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Niger	ORTN, Tele Sahel
Norway	TV2
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV5
Republic-of-the-congo	Tele Congo
Romania	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Senegal	RTS 1, RTS 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play, STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	M6, M6, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Tanzania	ZBC Tanzania
Togo	TVT
Turkey	TRT 1
Turkmenistan	Turkmenistan Sport
Uganda	UBC TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	AFN Sports, FOX One, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, TUDN
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV Go
Zambia	Sun Sports, ZNBC 1


	Norway		England

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.80	1.80
	4.00	3.75	1.85
	4.35	3.85	1.79
	4.53	3.88	1.86
	4.18	3.67	1.93	Watch
	4.45	3.80	1.80
	4.06	3.89	1.90
	4.10	3.80	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (4.07)	3.81 ↑ (3.68)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norway
22.7%

Draw
25.3%

England
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for England aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	14.8%	64.8%

Norway - England Predictions

Users Predictions: 119 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 23 - 19.3%). England will win (votes: 78 - 65.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for England: 57% – 74%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 6 - 23.1%). England (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Norway (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

TQ, OT - England (1.43) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - England (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 2nd Half - England (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - England (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Norway (1.94) (votes: 3 - 50%) .

AH 0 - England (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 11 - 24.4%). England (votes: 32 - 71.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nyland O. (G) 26. Ryerson J. Dortmund 3. Ajer K. Brentford 17. Heggem T. Bologna 5. Wolfe D. Wolves 10. Odegaard M. (C) Arsenal 8. Berge S. Fulham 6. Berg P. Bodo/Glimt 7. Sorloth A. Atl. Madrid 9. Haaland E. Manchester City 21. Schjelderup A. Benfica	1. Pickford J. (G) Everton 2. Konsa E. Aston Villa 5. Stones J. 6. Guehi M. Manchester City 3. O'Reilly N. Manchester City 4. Rice D. Arsenal 8. Anderson E. Manchester City 20. Madueke N. Arsenal 10. Bellingham J. Real Madrid 18. Gordon A. Barcelona 9. Kane H. (C) Bayern Munich
Substitutes
19. Aasgaard T. Rangers 14. Aursnes F. Benfica 15. Bjorkan F. Bodo/Glimt 22. Bobb O. Fulham 25. Falchener H. Viking 23. Hauge J. Bodo/Glimt 24. Langas S. Derby 11. Larsen J. Crystal Palace 20. Nusa A. RB Leipzig 4. Ostigard L. Genoa 16. Pedersen M. Torino 13. Selvik E. (G) Watford 12. Tangvik S. (G) Hamburger 2. Thorsby M. Cremonese 18. Thorstvedt K. Sassuolo	15. Burn D. Newcastle Utd 12. Chalobah T. Chelsea 21. Eze E. Arsenal 13. Henderson D. (G) Crystal Palace 14. Henderson J. Brentford 24. James R. Chelsea 16. Mainoo K. Manchester United 11. Rashford M. Manchester United 17. Rogers M. Aston Villa 7. Saka B. Arsenal 25. Spence D. Tottenham 22. Toney I. Al Ahli SC 23. Trafford J. (G) Manchester City 19. Watkins O. Aston Villa
Coaches
Solbakken S.	Tuchel T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Schjelderup A. ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Bellingham J. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Madueke N. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
46', Rice D. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
60', Ryerson J. ↓, Aursnes F. ↑,
68', Sorloth A. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
68', Schjelderup A. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
71', Gordon A. ↓, James R. ↑,
86', O'Reilly N. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
89', Konsa E. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
90', Wolfe D. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Heggem T. ↓, Ostigard L. ↑,
93', 1 - 2, Bellingham J. ⚽,
99', (Penalty overturned),
106', Haaland E. ↓, Larsen J. ↑,
111', Bellingham J. ↓, Burn D. ↑,
117', Ajer K. 🟨,

Preview

Norway is ranked FIFA: 31. England is ranked FIFA: 4.

Norway is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

England is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, England is the team to beat.

There will not play in England: Henderson J. (Wrist Injury) Livramento V. (Hamstring Injury) Quansah J. (Red Card)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Norway won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norway
FIFA World Cup
05.07.26	Brazil - Norway	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Ivory Coast - Norway	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Norway - France	1:4 ✺
22.06.26	Norway - Senegal	3:2 ✺
16.06.26	Iraq - Norway	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWW
- England
FIFA World Cup
05.07.26	Mexico - England	2:3 ✺
01.07.26	England - D.R. Congo	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Panama - England	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	England - Ghana	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	England - Croatia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
03.09.14	England - Norway	1:0
26.05.12	Norway - England	0:1

Norway - England: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide