What is the expert prediction for Iraq vs Norway?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Iraq vs Norway. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Iraq vs Norway Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, June 16, 2026)

Match Info

World Championship - Round 1

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)

Referee: Atcho P. (Gab)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	Klani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, DSPORTS+ Plus, Flow Sports, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Austria	ORF 1, ORF On
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	Toffee Live, T Sports
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT 1
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3, TV3 Play
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Faroe-islands	Televarp
Fiji	FBC Sports
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M6, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 2
Guatemala	Chapin, TeleOnce, Tigo Sports
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV 2
India	ZEE5
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa, Al Rabiaa Sport
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV, Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Malaysia	TV Okey, unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Mexico	VIX, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Netherlands	NPO 1, Ziggo Go
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Nicaragua	Tigo Sports
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	meWATCH, Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play, STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC, KBS 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	ATV Suriname, STVS
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	M6, M6, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport
Uruguay	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, DSports 310, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	FOX Network, FOX One, Futbol de Primera Radio, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV 3, VTV Go


	Iraq		Norway

	1	X	2
	12	7	1.2	Watch
	13.00	6.75	1.21
	15	6.5	1.23
	14	6.75	1.25
	12.37	6.59	1.24	Watch
	12	6	1.2
	12.1	7.49	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.92 ↓ (14)	6.73 ↑ (6.67)	1.22 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraq
7.4%

Draw
14.2%

Norway
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.8%

14.3%

78.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Norway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.9%	17.1%	78.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Iraq will win (votes: 3 - 4%). Norway will win (votes: 60 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 70.9% – 89.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Norway (1.84) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Iraq (10.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (3.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norway will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Iraq (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Norway (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hassan J. (C) Al Zawraa 3. Ali H. Pogon Szczecin 4. Tahseen Z. Pakhtakor 5. Hashem A. Al Zawraa 23. Doski M. Plzen 8. Bayesh I. Al Dhafra 24. Ismaeel Z. Al Talaba 16. Al Ammari A. Cracovia 17. Jasim A. Al Najma 18. Hussein A. Al-Karma 9. Al Hamadi A. Luton	1. Nyland O. (G) Sevilla 26. Ryerson J. Dortmund 3. Ajer K. Brentford 17. Heggem T. Bologna 5. Wolfe D. Wolves 10. Odegaard M. (C) Arsenal 8. Berge S. Fulham 14. Aursnes F. Benfica 7. Sorloth A. Atl. Madrid 9. Haaland E. Manchester City 20. Nusa A. RB Leipzig
Substitutes
15. Al Reeshawee A. 7. Amyn Y. AEK Larnaca 22. Basil A. (G) Al Shorta 21. Farji M. Venezia 14. Iqbal Z. Utrecht 10. Meme Dibba Al Fujairah 26. Putros F. Persib Bandung 11. Qasem A. Nashville SC 25. Saadoon M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 20. Sher A. Sarpsborg 08 2. Sulaka R. Port MTI FC 1. Talib F. (G) Al Talaba 19. Yakob K. Aarhus 6. Younis M. Al Shorta 13. Yousif A. Al Talaba	19. Aasgaard T. Rangers 6. Berg P. Bodo/Glimt 15. Bjorkan F. Bodo/Glimt 22. Bobb O. Fulham 25. Falchener H. Viking 23. Hauge J. Bodo/Glimt 24. Langas S. Derby 11. Larsen J. Crystal Palace 4. Ostigard L. Genoa 16. Pedersen M. Torino 21. Schjelderup A. Benfica 13. Selvik E. (G) Watford 12. Tangvik S. (G) Hamburger 2. Thorsby M. Cremonese 18. Thorstvedt K. Sassuolo
Coaches
Arnold G.	Solbakken S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Wolfe D. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Hussein A. ⚽, Al Ammari A. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Ismaeel Z. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
59', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Farji M. ↑,
73', Nusa A. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
73', Aursnes F. ↓, Thorstvedt K. ↑,
73', Wolfe D. ↓, Ostigard L. ↑,
73', Sorloth A. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
73', Ali H. ↓, Saadoon M. ↑,
73', Jasim A. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Ostigard L. ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),
78', Bayesh I. ↓, Meme ↑,
81', Odegaard M. ↓, Berg P. ↑,
86', Tahseen Z. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 4, Hussein A. (Own goal),

Preview

Iraq is ranked FIFA: 57. Norway is ranked FIFA: 31.

Norway may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Norway is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Iraq: Yahya A. (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraq
Friendly
09.06.26	Iraq - Venezuela	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Spain - Iraq	1:1 ✺
29.05.26	Iraq - Andorra	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
31.03.26	Iraq - Bolivia	2:1 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
12.12.25	Jordan - Iraq	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 67.7 LTWWL
- Norway
Friendly
07.06.26	Morocco - Norway	1:1 ✺
01.06.26	Norway - Sweden	3:1 ✺
31.03.26	Norway - Switzerland	0:0 ✺
27.03.26	Netherlands - Norway	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Italy - Norway	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTLW

Iraq - Norway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide