Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Nosta Novotroitsk		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	4.73	3.35	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (3.63)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)	1.79 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosta Novotroitsk
19.8%

Draw
27.9%

Sokol Saratov
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

28.8%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

30.1%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosta Novotroitsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nosta Novotroitsk's form might have worsened.

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sokol Saratov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Borisov E. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Malakhov A. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Ananyan A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Anisimov A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pigaev E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sysoev E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bakhysh-Zade A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kostin V. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Borisov E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Shpitalnyi V. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Irshev S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Malakhov A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sokol Saratov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sokol Saratov is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
23.08.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Ural 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
02.08.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	5:0 ✺
26.07.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Izhevsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.6 TWWLT
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.08.26	Sokol Saratov - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Dynamo Vladivostok - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Sokol Saratov - Ilpar Ilyinsky	3:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.08.26	Sokol Saratov - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sokol Saratov - Dynamo Kirov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWL

Nosta Novotroitsk - Sokol Saratov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide