Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nosta Novotroitsk		Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

	1	X	2
	2.28	4.95	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.78)	4.95 ↓ (5.1)	2.28 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosta Novotroitsk
40.6%

Draw
18.7%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

18%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

18.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosta Novotroitsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nosta Novotroitsk's performance.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nosta Novotroitsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nosta Novotroitsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Vainer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Danube V. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Grushin E. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Permyakov A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Nosta has had a series of away games.

Pobeda could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nosta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	28	15	5	8	59:42	17	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
16.08.26	Ural 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
02.08.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	5:0 ✺
26.07.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Izhevsk	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	KDV Tomsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.2 WWLTL
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
16.08.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Dynamo Barnaul	2:3 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Amkar Perm - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
02.08.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Ural 2	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
05.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Nosta Novotroitsk	4:1

Nosta Novotroitsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide