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Current Win Probability
Ural 2 38.3%
Draw 27.7%
Nosta Novotroitsk 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
24.1%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
24.7%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Nosta Novotroitsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Volkov Y. ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, Galkin V. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Satuchin P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural 2 won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Ural 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nosta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Ural 2 has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ural 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 0.9:0.9 per game).
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