Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Notaresco		Ancona

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.87	2.30
	3	2.92	2.22
	3.01	3.15	2.17
	3.01	3.2	2.23	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.14
	3.14	3.14	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.54)	3.06 ↑ (2.96)	2.23 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notaresco
30%

Draw
29.5%

Ancona
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notaresco's form might have worsened.

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancona's recent form is better than expected.

Notaresco - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Manuzzi F. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Infantino S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ancona	6	3	2	1	8:5	3	11
7	Notaresco Calcio	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notaresco Calcio
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Pineto - Notaresco	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.05.26	Teramo - Notaresco	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:3 ET ✺
03.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Notaresco - San Marino Calcio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWTL
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie D - Group F
10.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:3 ET ✺
03.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	L Aquila - Ancona	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ancona - Sammaurese	0:3 ✺
02.04.26	Ancona - Teramo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
10.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:3 ET
03.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:1
21.12.25	Notaresco - Ancona	1:1
13.04.25	Ancona - Notaresco	3:1
01.12.24	Notaresco - Ancona	0:1

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