Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Play Out - Final

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Notaresco		Civitanovese

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.24	3.68
	1.91	3.34	3.78
	1.93	3.24	3.67
	1.95	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.29)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	3.64 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notaresco
47%

Draw
28.1%

Civitanovese
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

28.4%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notaresco's performance.

Civitanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Civitanovese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Civitanovese than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Civitanovese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Notaresco - Civitanovese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Vesprini N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, Sall I. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Ferri R. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Civitanovese has had a series of away games.

San Nicolò could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Nicolò won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, San Nicolò won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.05.25	Notaresco - Chieti	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Teramo - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ancona - Notaresco	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Notaresco - Isernia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWTLL
- Civitanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.05.25	Sambenedettese - Civitanovese	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Civitanovese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Fermana - Civitanovese	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Sora - Civitanovese	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Chieti - Civitanovese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
26.01.25	Notaresco - Civitanovese	1:2

Notaresco - Civitanovese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide