The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ancona 72.5%
Draw 19.2%
Castelfidardo 8.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
22.2%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
20.8%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancona's performance.
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Ancona - Castelfidardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Ancona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Castelfidardo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Castelfidardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ancona is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Ancona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
Watch
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